|
The fundamental problem for interstellar trade is setting up a common
currency between the colonies. Basing it on fiat (currencies whose value
are set by a central bank), just claiming it has a certain value, will
not work (as demonstrated by past experiences, such as inflation and drastic
economic swings due to government politics or lack of confidence in a
currency). Basing it on some objective value (for example gold) is extremely
hard since just about any valuable commodity in 2350 would have a price
that could change fast: gold and rare metals can be mined in huge amounts
in space using robots, energy can be produced using solar power and fusion,
Helium 3 is fairly rare but Penglaiese fusion doesn’t need it (and will
likely spread), human labour can be replaced with robots, human attention
and interest may be limited but is hard to measure, and so on. To make
matters even worse, it would have to work across interstellar distances
and interface with very different economies.
The Process came up with the idea of a meta-currency, the Promon. While
partially a fiat currency it is linked to the local economies by being
bound to the major backers and investments of the Process. By linking
its local value to solid investments it can become somewhat reliable,
and by having an identical evaluation process on every Process node it
would become interchangeable. It is kind of a bank changing "currency",
but this bank also handles insurance, shipping and trade contacts in am
unified interstellar system. A credit transfer can be done by inserting
the local credit into the Process bank, where Promonss converts it into
promons, transfers it and at the destination converts it to the local
currency there; the Process investments acts as a security for the value
of the promon. This is achieved using a distributed AI system. Each node
has one AI instance, making the evaluations and managing the local currency
exchange. These instances continually exchange "mind snapshots"
sent by passing starships, keeping the instances updated of what happened,
what decisions has been made, why, and what was learned. The result is
intended to be a kind of meta-AI, a single very slow intelligence distributed
across many fast instances. Needless to say, the system requires continual
trade between the colonies so that the snapshots can spread.
The AI instances have to act in a way to ensure stability despite month-long
time lags, uncertainties in economic development and possibly hostile
trading. To achieve this, Promonss has been designed to be cautious, resilient,
responsible and very far-seeing. It is not a sparkling personality and
nearly lacks self-awareness, but has a great drive of maximising the stability
of the promon. By making the currency in some sense self-protecting it
is less likely to be manipulated (both by outsiders and the Process) and
hence more trustworthy.
The Process hired CogniSoft of Nova to design Promonss, an unique design
challenge. CogniSoft in turn has hired other Nova consultancy firms such
as EconoTech, Neumann Systems and GST Services to develop the economic
prediction and metalevel systems; the whole project has quickly grown
to a major undertaking with cutting edge AI technology. In addition, CogniSoft
designed the Promonss to be very robust: each node is really a network
of copies of the Promonss ideally distributed across the colony, making
it able to withstand the loss of individual computers or even the partial
subversion of the node. After extensive testing where hackers (both economical
and software) attacked a simulation of a Promonss network subjected to
realistic modelling of possible interstellar trade the Process was finally
satisfied to put the first two version 1.0 nodes online at Nova and Atlantis.
|