Transhuman Page

Technological Sphere

General Technology and Policy

Sections

Futures
Technological Change
Resources and the Environment
Other Sites
Books
See Also

The Foresight Exchange. An idea futures exchange.
Synergetics Page. About the synergetic models of Buckminster Fuller.
Theoretical Applied Science by Nick Szabo.
The Problem of Nonsense in Nanotechnology by K. Eric Drexler.
The Weapon of Openness (Foresight Background No. 4) by Arthur Kantrowitz.
Technology as Dribble Glass by Steve Witham. We shouldn't stand bad design!

Futures

British Telecom 1997 Technology Calendar. Forecasts for future technologies. Even if many will likely be wrong, even a few hits will have profound effects.
200 Futures for 2020 by Ian Pearson & Peter Cochrane. Related to the BT site above.

Technological Change

The Silent Boom by Peter Brimelow (Forbes 7 July 1997). About the growth and especially change of technology.
A Punctuated Equilibrium Model of Technology Diffusion by Christoph H. Loch and Bernardo A. Huberman. A paper describing a model of technology diffusion, explaining sudden shifts in technology usage.
Elektron: Electrical Systems in Retrospect and Prospect by Jesse H. Ausubel and Cesare Marchetti (Daedalus 125(3):139-169 Summer 1996). About the spread and development of electricity. Worth considering.

Resources and the Environment

Progress and Its Sustainability by John McCarthy. A website discussing the possibilities of continued progress.
The Environment Since 1970 by Jesse H. Ausubel, David G. Victor, and Iddo K. Wernick. A paper describing the environmental changes since 1970. Neither ecocalyptic or naively optimistic, implies that things are getting "interesting" rather than fatal.
Materialization and Dematerialization: Measures and Trends by Iddo K. Wernick, Robert Herman, Shekhar Govind and Jesse H. Ausubel (Daedalus 125(3):171-198 Summer 1996). Are we using less material for more, or is the consumption increasing?

Other Sites

Books

See also